Track Record
Prescience Scorecard
Every signal we've sent. Every outcome tracked. No cherry-picking. Misses shown prominently — because trust is the product.
Pre-Public Detections
TARS SCANNER FLAGSMarkets our scanner flagged with unusual activity before any public reporting. These aren't formal signal posts — they're raw TARS detections captured as proof-of-early-detection.
All Signals
Methodology
Signal generation: Prescience scans 500+ prediction markets every 30 minutes. Our quality gate scores each signal across 4 dimensions: consensus divergence, data edge, time sensitivity, and narrative value. Only signals scoring ≥ 6/12 are published.
Entry price: The YES price at the time our signal was sent. This is the price you would have entered at if you followed the signal immediately.
Outcome tracking: Markets are checked against Polymarket's resolution API. When a market resolves, we log the outcome and calculate whether our signal direction was correct.
No cherry-picking: Every signal we send is logged automatically. Misses are shown as prominently as wins. This page is generated from raw signal logs — no manual editing.